Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 55.38%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.