Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kaiserslautern in this match.