2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 19, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Imtech Arena

Hamburger SV
2 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld

Reis (26'), Jatta (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oczipka (51')

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Arminia Bielefeld.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions

2.Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 3-3 Hamburger SV
Saturday, February 11 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 Hansa Rostock
Friday, February 10 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 72.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 11.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
72.08% ( 1)	16.34% ( -0.53)	11.57% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 54.63% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.06% (

1.33)

33.94% (

-1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.2% (

1.49)

55.8% (

-1.49)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.76% (

0.55)

8.23% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.21% (

1.35)

28.79% (

-1.35)

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.53% (

0.13)

40.46% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.92% (

0.12)

77.07% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 72.08%

Arminia Bielefeld 11.57%

Draw 16.34%

Hamburger SV	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.12% Total : 72.08%	1-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.34%	1-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.48% Total : 11.57%