Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	St Pauli
36.81% ( 0)	23.37%	39.83%

Both teams to score 63.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.25% (

37.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40%

60% (

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.2% (

20.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.54% (

53.46%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.62%

19.38% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.83%

51.18% (

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 36.81%

St Pauli 39.83%

Draw 23.36%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 6.33% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.81%	1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.69% 0-0 @ 4.03% 3-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.36%	1-2 @ 8.52% 0-1 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 4.66% 2-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.34% Total : 39.83%