Fortuna Dusseldorf logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 12pm UK
 

Dusseldorf
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel

Appelkamp (14'), Hoffmann (19'), Ginczek (24' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Fortuna Dusseldorf and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Dusseldorf

All competitions
Last Game: Dusseldorf 3-2 Karlsruher
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-3 SV Darmstadt 98
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 56.76%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 22% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawHolstein Kiel
56.76% (0.041000000000004 0.04)21.24% (0.090999999999998 0.09)22% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 60.8% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85% (-0.601 -0.6)37.16% (0.604 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.65% (-0.653 -0.65)59.36% (0.65499999999999 0.65)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.182 -0.18)13% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.47% (-0.379 -0.38)39.53% (0.38 0.38)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-0.452 -0.45)30.11% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-0.549 -0.55)66.26% (0.55199999999999 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 56.76%
    Holstein Kiel 22%
    Draw 21.24%
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.125 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.178 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 56.76%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 22%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
gameweek 14
Holstein Kiel
1-2
Dusseldorf
Skrzybski (70')
Wahl (25')
Appelkamp (42'), Kownacki (82' pen.)
Feb 6, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 21
Holstein Kiel
1-0
Dusseldorf
Sterner (90+3')
Porath (50')

Bozenik (3'), de Wijs (73')
Aug 20, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 4
Dusseldorf
2-2
Holstein Kiel
Narey (40'), Peterson (87')
Klarer (9')
Muhling (5'), Skrzybski (65')
Benger (45'), Bartels (58'), Arp (90')
Feb 8, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 20
Dusseldorf
0-2
Holstein Kiel

Prib (40'), Krajnc (45')
Muhling (36' pen.), Jae-sung (47')
Dehm (63')
Oct 4, 2020 12.30pm
gameweek 3
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Dusseldorf
Hartherz (16' og.), Muhling (86' pen.)
Meffert (59' og.)
Bodzek (52'), Danso (71'), Kownacki (73')
Danso (86')
rhs 2.0


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