2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Arminia Bielefeld logos

Holstein Kiel
2 - 3
Arminia Bielefeld

Skrzybski (32'), Fridjonsson (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jakel (11'), Hack (29'), Okugawa (55')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-0 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, March 18 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 Nuremberg
Friday, March 17 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawArminia Bielefeld
54.04% (0.072999999999993 0.07)23.16% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)22.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.23% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (0.233 0.23)45.02% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (0.221 0.22)67.37% (-0.224 -0.22)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42% (0.11 0.11)16.58% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.62% (0.196 0.2)46.38% (-0.198 -0.2)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21% (0.114 0.11)33.79% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (0.122 0.12)70.45% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 54.03%
    Arminia Bielefeld 22.81%
    Draw 23.15%
Holstein KielDrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.03%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.81%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 12pm
Arminia Bielefeld
4-2
Holstein Kiel
Hack (1'), Serra (36'), Okugawa (48'), Lasme (85')
Rzatkowski (42')
Muhling (59'), Bartels (68')
May 30, 2020 12pm
Holstein Kiel
1-2
Arminia Bielefeld
Muhling (51')
Meffert (64')
Clauss (23'), Schipplock (90+2')
Prietl (41'), Schipplock (90+3')
Nov 3, 2019 12.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Klos (33' pen.), Voglsammer (73')
Salger (72'), Seufert (81')
Iyoha (68')
Meffert (64'), Ozcan (77')
May 19, 2019 2.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
1-0
Holstein Kiel
Clauss (71')
Clauss (78')

Evina (73')
Dec 14, 2018 5.30pm
Holstein Kiel
1-2
Arminia Bielefeld
Serra (73')
Meffert (32'), Serra (81')
Klos (34'), Borner (81')
rhs 2.0


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