Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Holstein Kiel in this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Nuremberg
50.02% ( 0.41)	23.74% ( -0.02)	26.25% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 57.11% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.7% (

-0.21)

44.3% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.32% (

-0.2)

66.68% (

0.21)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.2% (

0.08)

17.8% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.48% (

0.14)

48.52% (

-0.13)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47% (

-0.41)

30.53% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.25% (

-0.49)

66.75% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 50.02%

Nuremberg 26.25%

Draw 23.73%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Nuremberg
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 50.02%	1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) Other @ 3% Total : 26.25%