Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.