Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.