Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 56.32%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 22.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
56.32% ( 0.47)	21.4% ( 0.04)	22.27% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 60.6% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.4% (

-0.8)

37.6% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.17% (

-0.86)

59.83% (

0.86)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.72% (

-0.12)

13.28% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.91% (

-0.24)

40.09% (

0.24)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.87% (

-0.88)

30.12% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.73% (

-1.06)

66.27% (

1.06)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 56.32%

Holstein Kiel 22.27%

Draw 21.4%

Heidenheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 56.32%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.4%	1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 22.27%