Heidenheim
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 17, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Karlsruher

Heidenheim
5 - 2
Karlsruher

Kleindienst (38', 45+1', 49'), Pick (62'), Sessa (88')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jensen (14'), Kaufmann (23')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Karlsruher SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, March 11 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Karlsruher SC

All competitions
Last Game: Karlsruher 4-2 Hamburger SV
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
HeidenheimDrawKarlsruher SC
48.46% (0.012 0.01)23.88% (-0.198 -0.2)27.67% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 57.86% (0.835 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (1.029 1.03)43.87% (-1.024 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75% (0.999 1)66.26% (-0.992 -0.99)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (0.408 0.41)18.24% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.73% (0.683 0.68)49.27% (-0.677 -0.68)
Karlsruher SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (0.67500000000001 0.68)29.24% (-0.668 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (0.821 0.82)65.19% (-0.815 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 48.46%
    Karlsruher SC 27.67%
    Draw 23.87%
HeidenheimDrawKarlsruher SC
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.107 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Karlsruher

Heidenheim
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Karlsruher SC
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 12pm
Karlsruher
0-0
Heidenheim

Kleindienst (55')
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
Heidenheim
2-0
Karlsruher
Sessa (38', 42')
Kleindienst (60')

Jakob (32')
Dec 12, 2021 12.30pm
Karlsruher
3-2
Heidenheim
Batmaz (8', 39'), Wanitzek (56' pen.)
Gondorf (41')
Kleindienst (6', 73')
Mohr (51'), Mainka (90+5')
May 23, 2021 2.30pm
Heidenheim
1-2
Karlsruher
Schimmer (80')
Muller (90')
Bormuth (39'), Gueye (56')
Wanitzek (50'), Bormuth (69'), Pisot (90+3')
Jan 23, 2021 12pm
Karlsruher
1-1
Heidenheim
Bormuth (6')
Bormuth (71')
Kuhlwetter (60')
Pick (68')