2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 29, 2023 at 12pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
2 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld

Hartel (53'), Daschner (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Consbruch (73')

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Arminia Bielefeld.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: Hamburger SV 4-3 St Pauli
Friday, April 21 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 Hannover
Saturday, April 22 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
61.56% ( 0.62)	21.35% ( -0.04)	17.09% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 51.72% (

-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.93% (

-0.83)

45.07% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.58% (

-0.8)

67.42% (

0.8)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.88% (

-0.08)

14.12% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.25% (

-0.15)

41.75% (

0.16)

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.22% (

-1.18)

39.78% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.55% (

-1.1)

76.45% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 61.56%

Arminia Bielefeld 17.09%

Draw 21.34%

St Pauli	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 61.56%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.34%	0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.02% Total : 17.09%