2.Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcel Hartel 53' goal
  • Lukas Daschner 69' goal
  • goal Jomaine Consbruch 73'

St Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2023 5.30pm
Hamburger SV 4 - 3 St Pauli
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lukas Daschner

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 12.00pm
Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 3 Hannover
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Robin Hack

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result

St Pauli 61.56% (+0.62)
Draw 21.35% (-0.04)
Arminia Bielefeld 17.09% (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.72% (-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.93% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 45.07% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 32.58% (-0.80)
Under 3.5 67.42% (+0.80)
Over 4.5 16.49% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 83.51% (+0.58)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 85.88% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 14.12% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 58.25% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 41.75% (+0.16)

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5 60.22% (-1.18)
Under 0.5 39.78% (+1.19)
Over 1.5 23.55% (-1.11)
Under 1.5 76.45% (+1.11)

Score analysis

St Pauli 61.56%
Draw 21.34%
Arminia Bielefeld 17.09%
St Pauli
1-0 @ 10.99% (+0.36)
2-0 @ 10.76% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.03% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.44% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.35% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 61.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.13% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.62% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.17)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 21.34%
Arminia Bielefeld
0-1 @ 5.18% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 17.09%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2022 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Janni-Luca Serra 76' goal
  • Janni-Luca Serra 84' goal
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2019 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
  • Henk Veerman 3' goal
  • Henk Veerman 25' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 54' goal
  • Luca Zander 60' yellowcard
2.Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2019 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brian Behrendt 56' yellowcard
  • Manuel Prietl 69' yellowcard
  • Manuel Prietl 90' goal
  • goal Christian Joe Conteh 32'
  • yellowcard Ryo Miyaichi 79'
  • yellowcard Niklas Hoffmann 90'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2019 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
  • Park Yi-young 4' yellowcard
  • Ryo Miyaichi 48' goal
  • Christopher Buchtmann 56' yellowcard
  • Florian Carstens 75' yellowcard
  • goal Fabian Klos 5'
  • yellowcard Andreas Voglsammer 45'
  • yellowcard Brian Behrendt 60'
  • yellowcard Patrick Weihrauch 64'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2018 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT SchücoArena (Bielefeld)
  • Keanu Staude 7' goal
  • Keanu Staude 14' yellowcard
  • Fabian Klos 54' yellowcard
  • Anderson-Lenda Lucoqui 82' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Knoll 49'
  • goal Mats Moller Daehli 55'
  • yellowcard Bernd Nehrig 90'
  • yellowcard Mats Moller Daehli 90'
2.Bundesliga
May 6, 2018 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
  • Park Yi-young 39' goal
  • yellowcard Stephan Salger 2'