Champions League
Sep 19, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
  • Kylian Mbappe 49' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 58' goal
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 66'
  • yellowcard Emre Can 67'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 90'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.36%) and 3-1 (5.09%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 41.58% (+0.04)
Draw 22.13% (+0.03)
Borussia Dortmund 36.28% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.61% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.45% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 31.54% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 46.97% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 53.03% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 28.01% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 71.99% (+0.14)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 83.95% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 16.05% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 54.59% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 45.41% (+0.08)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 81.73% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 18.27% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 50.67% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 49.33% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 41.58%
Draw 22.13%
Borussia Dortmund 36.28%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.34% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.36% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.91% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.32% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 41.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.12% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 7.09% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.93% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.45% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 22.13%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 7.75% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.98% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 36.28%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 11, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Neymar 28' goal
  • Juan Bernat 45'+1' goal
  • Juan Bernat 68' yellowcard
  • Neymar 89' yellowcard
  • Angel di Maria 90' yellowcard
  • Marquinhos 90' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erling Braut Haaland 16'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 61'
  • redcard Emre Can 89'
Champions League
Feb 18, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Axel Witsel 44' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 69' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 77' goal
  • yellowcard Idrissa Gueye 54'
  • yellowcard Neymar 59'
  • goal Neymar 75'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 87'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 89'

Build-up

Feature