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Donyell Malen
88'
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Donyell Malen
90'+1'
Borussia Dortmund vs FC Koln - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.65%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 1-0 (6.81%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Borussia Dortmund Goals
FC Koln Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.65%
2-2 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.06%
0-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 24.28%