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Bundesliga

Dortmund logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Koln logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
FC Koln

Malen (88')
Malen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Schott Mainz 1-6 Dortmund
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

FC Koln

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Osnabruck 1-3 FC Koln
Monday, August 14 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.65%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 1-0 (6.81%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawFC Koln
54.65% (-0.168 -0.17)21.06% (0.079999999999998 0.08)24.28% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 64.55% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.43% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)33.57% (0.299 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.62% (-0.345 -0.34)55.38% (0.341 0.34)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.55% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)12.44% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.63% (-0.309 -0.31)38.37% (0.307 0.31)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)26.27% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (-0.137 -0.14)61.38% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 54.65%
    FC Koln 24.28%
    Draw 21.06%
Borussia DortmundDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.81% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.41% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.43% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 54.65%
1-1 @ 9.11% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.06%
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.92% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 24.28%

How you voted: Dortmund vs FC Koln

Borussia Dortmund
90.5%
Draw
7.9%
FC Koln
1.6%
63
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Dortmund
6-1
FC Koln
Guerreiro (15'), Haller (17', 69'), Reus (32', 70'), Malen (36')
Selke (42')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
FC Koln
3-2
Dortmund
Kainz (53'), Tigges (56'), Ljubicic (71')
Brandt (31'), Schmitz (78' og.)
> Preview
Mar 20, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 27
FC Koln
1-1
Dortmund
Andersson (36')
Ozcan (67'), Duda (76')
Wolf (8')
Wolf (30'), Witsel (43'), Can (47')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Dortmund
2-0
FC Koln
Hazard (40'), Tigges (64')
Meunier (51'), Bellingham (88')

Schmitz (11'), Hubers (56'), Ozcan (82')
> Preview
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
FC Koln
2-2
Dortmund
Duda (35' pen.), Jakobs (65')
Jakobs (90+2')
Braut Haaland (3', 90')
Bellingham (34')
> Preview