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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Dortmund
5 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Malen (5'), Bellingham (18' pen.), Haller (20', 32'), Reyna (90+4')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Bensebaini (75' pen.), Stindl (85')
Bensebaini (77'), Kramer (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Dortmund 4-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

When you couple Dortmund's strong home form with Gladbach's woeful record on the road, all the signs point towards another convincing BVB win at Signal Iduna Park. Given that Terzic's men have been firing in goals for fun on home soil, we can see Dortmund notching a high-scoring victory at the expense of the Foals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 78.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 8.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
78.22% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 12.86% (0.022 0.02) 8.91% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.9% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.79% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)24.2% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.13% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)43.87% (0.108 0.11)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)4.94% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.18% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)19.81% (0.064 0.06)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)38.04% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)74.8% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 78.22%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 8.91%
    Draw 12.86%
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
3-0 @ 8.52% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 8.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.66% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
6-2 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 78.22%
1-1 @ 5.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.97%
0-0 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 12.86%
1-2 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
0-1 @ 1.82% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 8.91%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Borussia M'bach

Borussia Dortmund
79.5%
Draw
9.1%
Borussia Monchengladbach
11.4%
44
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 15
Borussia M'bach
4-2
Dortmund
Hofmann (4'), Bensebaini (26'), Thuram (30'), Kone (46')
Stindl (9')
Brandt (19'), Schlotterbeck (40')
Feb 20, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 23
Dortmund
6-0
Borussia M'bach
Reus (26', 82'), Malen (32'), Wolf (70'), Moukoko (74'), Can (90+1' pen.)
Zagadou (12'), Dahoud (35')

Bensebaini (14')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 6
Borussia M'bach
1-0
Dortmund
Zakaria (37')
Zakaria (13'), Stindl (33'), Netz (45+2'), Kone (59')

Dahoud (10'), Pongracic (35'), Bellingham (85')
Dahoud (40')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Borussia M'bach
0-1
Dortmund

Stindl (32'), Bensebaini (90+2')
Sancho (66')
Dahoud (29'), Reus (50'), Hitz (90+5')
Dahoud (90+2')
Jan 22, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 18
Borussia M'bach
4-2
Dortmund
Elvedi (11', 32'), Bensebaini (49'), Thuram (78')
Kramer (89')
Braut Haaland (22', 28')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Werder Bremen146442224-222
8Wolfsburg146353125621
9Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
11Stuttgart135532623320
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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