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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Wolfsburg |
60.28% ( 0.02) | 20.7% ( -0.02) | 19.01% |
Both teams to score 57.74% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.07% ( 0.11) | 38.93% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.75% ( 0.11) | 61.25% ( -0.12) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.45% ( 0.04) | 12.54% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.41% ( 0.08) | 38.58% ( -0.09) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.02% ( 0.06) | 33.97% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.35% ( 0.07) | 70.65% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 60.28% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 5.16% 0-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 19.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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