DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Mirco Aghetoni
Koln logo

Osnabruck
1 - 3
FC Koln

Makridis (73')
Conteh (25'), Kleinhansl (32'), Okyere Wriedt (45+1')
FT
(aet)
Schmitz (43'), Adamyan (93'), Chabot (96')
Chabot (45+1'), Hubers (50')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between VfL Osnabruck and FC Koln.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Osnabruck

All competitions
Last Game: SC Paderborn 1-1 Osnabruck
Friday, August 4 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%).

Result
VfL OsnabruckDrawFC Koln
29.01% (0.197 0.2)22.71% (0.196 0.2)48.28% (-0.389 -0.39)
Both teams to score 63.06% (-0.566 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.53% (-0.807 -0.81)37.47% (0.812 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31% (-0.874 -0.87)59.69% (0.879 0.88)
VfL Osnabruck Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (-0.27799999999999 -0.28)25.04% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)59.72% (0.397 0.4)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (-0.438 -0.44)15.87% (0.442 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (-0.815 -0.82)45.09% (0.819 0.82)
Score Analysis
    VfL Osnabruck 29.01%
    FC Koln 48.28%
    Draw 22.71%
VfL OsnabruckDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.5% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 3.81% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.98% (0.154 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.72% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 48.28%

How you voted: Osnabruck vs FC Koln

VfL Osnabruck
6.7%
Draw
6.7%
FC Koln
86.7%
15
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2020 5.30pm
Second Round
FC Koln
1-0
Osnabruck
Modeste (45+1')
Jakobs (51'), Bornauw (85')

Henning (54')