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Bundesliga

VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Dortmund logo

VfL Bochum
1 - 1
Dortmund

Stoger (13')
Stoger (66'), Bero (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Malen (56')
Can (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 FC Koln
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 2-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Dortmund
16.3% (-3.578 -3.58)16.73% (-0.449 -0.45)66.97% (4.026 4.03)
Both teams to score 67.6% (-5.827 -5.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.87% (-4.098 -4.1)24.12% (4.096 4.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.23% (-5.634 -5.63)43.76% (5.632 5.63)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (-5.951 -5.95)27.45% (5.95 5.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (-8.391 -8.39)62.94% (8.389 8.39)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.18% (-0.36 -0.36)6.82% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.88% (-0.97 -0.97)25.12% (0.969 0.97)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 16.3%
    Borussia Dortmund 66.97%
    Draw 16.73%
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.2% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.724 -0.72)
1-0 @ 2.42% (0.285 0.29)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.493 -0.49)
2-0 @ 1.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 16.3%
1-1 @ 6.5% (0.649 0.65)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.517 -0.52)
3-3 @ 2.18% (-0.705 -0.71)
0-0 @ 1.87% (0.482 0.48)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.73%
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.714 0.71)
1-3 @ 7.81% (0.495 0.5)
0-2 @ 6.75% (1.537 1.54)
0-3 @ 6.04% (1.283 1.28)
1-4 @ 5.25% (0.233 0.23)
2-3 @ 5.05% (-0.574 -0.57)
0-1 @ 5.03% (1.22 1.22)
0-4 @ 4.06% (0.797 0.8)
2-4 @ 3.39% (-0.46 -0.46)
1-5 @ 2.82% (0.072 0.07)
0-5 @ 2.18% (0.393 0.39)
2-5 @ 1.82% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-4 @ 1.46% (-0.512 -0.51)
1-6 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-6 @ 0.98% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 66.97%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Dortmund

VfL Bochum
11.1%
Draw
9.3%
Borussia Dortmund
79.6%
54
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