/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffreilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
-
Lucas Holer
45'+2'
-
Nicolas Hofler
45'+6'
-
Nicolas Hofler
82'
-
Philipp Lienhart
87'
-
Maximilian Eggestein
89'
-
Mats Hummels
11'
-
Ramy Bensebaini
45'+4'
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Donyell Malen
60'
-
Marius Wolf
68'
-
Emre Can
78'
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Mats Hummels
88'
-
Marco Reus
90'+2'
Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.81%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.14% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 1-3 (7.05%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result
Freiburg
21.14%
▲
(+0.36)
Draw
20.05%
▲
(+0.40)
Borussia Dortmund
58.81%
▼
(-0.75)
Both Teams to Score:
63.92%
▼
(-0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.47%
▼
(-1.47)
Under 2.5
32.53%
▲
(+1.48)
Over 3.5
45.82%
▼
(-1.73)
Under 3.5
54.18%
▲
(+1.74)
Over 4.5
27.01%
▼
(-1.52)
Under 4.5
72.99%
▲
(+1.53)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5
71.8%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 0.5
28.2%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 1.5
36.1%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 1.5
63.9%
▲
(+0.73)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
89.03%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 0.5
10.97%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 1.5
64.8%
▼
(-1.43)
Under 1.5
35.2%
▲
(+1.44)
Score analysis
Freiburg
21.14%
Draw
20.05%
Borussia Dortmund
58.81%
Freiburg
2-1
@
5.48%
▲
(+0.12)
1-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 21.14%
1-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 21.14%
Draw
1-1
@
8.65%
▲
(+0.33)
2-2 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.05%
2-2 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.05%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
@
9.56%
▲
(+0.11)
0-2 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.12)
0-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.36)
0-3 @ 5.57%
2-3 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.17)
0-4 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.09)
2-4 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.15)
1-5 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.13)
0-5 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.08)
2-5 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.10)
3-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 58.81%
0-2 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.12)
0-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.36)
0-3 @ 5.57%
2-3 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.17)
0-4 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.09)
2-4 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.15)
1-5 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.13)
0-5 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.08)
2-5 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.10)
3-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 58.81%