DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Moslestadion
Freiburg logo

Oberachern
0 - 2
Freiburg


Fritz (45+1'), Zwick (65'), Gueddin (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gunter (60'), Sallai (77')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Oberachern and Freiburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oberachern

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Last Game: Oberachern 1-9 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
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Freiburg

All competitions
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 84.45%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Oberachern had a probability of 5.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 0-4 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Oberachern win it was 2-1 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
OberachernDrawFreiburg
5.42% (-0.099900000000001 -0.1)10.12% (-0.096 -0.1)84.45% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 50.8% (-0.25 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.7% (0.040999999999997 0.04)24.3% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56% (0.057000000000002 0.06)44% (-0.061 -0.06)
Oberachern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.92% (-0.283 -0.28)47.07% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.46% (-0.213 -0.21)82.54% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.98% (0.036000000000001 0.04)4.02% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.05% (0.11499999999999 0.11)16.95% (-0.118 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Oberachern 5.42%
    Freiburg 84.45%
    Draw 10.12%
OberachernDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 1.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 5.42%
1-1 @ 4.58% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 1.89% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 10.12%
0-3 @ 10.47% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.78% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 8.41% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 7.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 6.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-5 @ 5.41% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-5 @ 4.07% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-6 @ 2.9% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 2.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-6 @ 2.18% (0.013 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-7 @ 1.33% (0.022 0.02)
1-7 @ 1% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 84.45%