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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Wolfsburg

Freiburg
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Gunter (71'), Petersen (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 4-2 Freiburg
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
43.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.55% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)31.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 58.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (0.013000000000005 0.01)44.65% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (0.010999999999996 0.01)67.01% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (0.00099999999999056 0)20.6% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)53.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)26.78% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (0.010000000000005 0.01)62.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 43.57%
    Wolfsburg 31.88%
    Draw 24.55%
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 43.57%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.88%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Wolfsburg

Freiburg
50.0%
Draw
17.0%
Wolfsburg
33.0%
88
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
6-0
Freiburg
Wimmer (1'), Wind (28', 37'), Gerhardt (56'), Baku (80'), Waldschmidt (90+4' pen.)
Otavio (22')

Woo-yeong (53'), Eggestein (72')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 26
Freiburg
3-2
Wolfsburg
Grifo (7', 44'), Schlotterbeck (87')
Schlotterbeck (55'), Haberer (64')
Kruse (52'), Arnold (84')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 9
Wolfsburg
0-2
Freiburg

Steffen (7'), Guilavogui (26'), Mbabu (71')
Lienhart (27'), Holer (68')
Jan 31, 2021 5pm
gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
3-0
Freiburg
Brooks (21'), Weghorst (39'), Gerhardt (85')
Sep 27, 2020 5pm
gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-1
Wolfsburg
Petersen (11')
Brekalo (42')
Otavio (32'), Arnold (34'), Brooks (34')