Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wolfsburg in this match.