Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Hamburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga

Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Werder Bremen logo

Freiburg
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Philipp (90+6')
Kubler (38'), Hofler (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Schmid (6'), Friedl (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-4 Bayern
Friday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawWerder Bremen
52.07% (-0.194 -0.19)23.55% (-0.107 -0.11)24.38% (0.304 0.3)
Both teams to score 55.81% (0.69 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (0.754 0.75)45.14% (-0.754 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.72 0.72)67.49% (-0.717 -0.72)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (0.209 0.21)17.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (0.362 0.36)47.73% (-0.36 -0.36)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (0.667 0.67)32.48% (-0.666 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (0.744 0.74)69.01% (-0.74199999999999 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 52.07%
    Werder Bremen 24.38%
    Draw 23.55%
FreiburgDrawWerder Bremen
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 52.07%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 24.38%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Freiburg
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Werder Bremen
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-2
Freiburg
Philipp (46')
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Kubler (56'), Grifo (80' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-0
Freiburg
Hofler (83'), Heintz (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
Werder Bremen
Lienhart (16')
Hofler (27'), Santamaria (89'), Schmid (90+2')
Fullkrug (25' pen.)
Augustinsson (44'), Mbom (51'), Sargent (83')
> Preview
May 23, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Freiburg
0-1
Werder Bremen
> Preview