DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Sportpark Hohenberg
Werder Bremen logo

Viktoria Koln
3 - 2
Werder Bremen

Philipp (72', 79'), Bogicevic (90+4')
Fritz (70'), Stage (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ducksch (43'), Fullkrug (77' pen.)
Stage (70')
Pieper (11')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Viktoria Koln and Werder Bremen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Viktoria Koln

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Last Game: Viktoria Koln 0-5 Bayern
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.46pm in DFB-Pokal
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Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Viktoria Koln had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Viktoria Koln win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Viktoria KolnDrawWerder Bremen
31.08% (0.209 0.21)24.2% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)44.73% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 59% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.64% (0.103 0.1)43.36% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (0.102 0.1)65.75% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Viktoria Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (0.18299999999999 0.18)26.65% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11% (0.242 0.24)61.89% (-0.242 -0.24)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)19.56% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)51.48% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Viktoria Koln 31.08%
    Werder Bremen 44.73%
    Draw 24.19%
Viktoria KolnDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.033 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 31.08%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.94% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 44.73%

How you voted: Viktoria Koln vs Werder Bremen

Viktoria Koln
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Werder Bremen
66.7%
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