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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
60.16% ( 0.06) | 21.67% ( -0.02) | 18.17% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% ( 0.05) | 44.69% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( 0.05) | 67.06% ( -0.04) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.57% ( 0.03) | 14.43% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.63% ( 0.06) | 42.37% ( -0.06) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.72% ( -0) | 38.29% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.96% ( -0.01) | 75.05% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 60.15% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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