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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 60.16% ( | 21.67% ( | 18.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( | 44.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( | 67.06% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( | 14.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.63% ( | 42.37% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% ( | 38.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.96% ( | 75.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 5-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 60.15% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.17% |