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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Werder Bremen logo

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Khedira (81')
Laidouni (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Philipp (50'), Pavlenka (68'), Bittencourt (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 3-1 Werder Bremen

Despite their recent wobble in form, Union Berlin will be regarded as favourites to come out on top against a Werder Bremen side who have been struggling to grind out positive results for some time. Fischer is sure to have a constant eye on Freiburg's result throughout Saturday afternoon, but as long as his side can claim a victory, preferably a convincing one, they should do enough to book their place in next season's Champions League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
60.16% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 21.67% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 18.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.050000000000004 0.05)44.69% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (0.047999999999995 0.05)67.06% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57% (0.034999999999997 0.03)14.43% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.63% (0.064 0.06)42.37% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)38.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.05% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 60.15%
    Werder Bremen 18.17%
    Draw 21.66%
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.0039999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.17%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen

Union Berlin
85.7%
Draw
10.7%
Werder Bremen
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 14
Werder Bremen
0-2
Union Berlin

Gross (33'), Selke (53')
Becker (12'), Awoniyi (28')
Andrich (25'), Promel (44'), Hubner (50'), Becker (68')
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-2
Union Berlin

Selke (16'), Vogt (30'), Toprak (30'), Friedl (80')
Bulter (52', 72')
Trimmel (67'), Promel (80'), Andersson (86')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 4
Union Berlin
1-2
Werder Bremen
Andersson (14' pen.)
Trimmel (54'), Subotic (80')
Subotic (89')
Klaassen (5' pen.), Fullkrug (55')
Fullkrug (19'), Sahin (76'), Bittencourt (83')
Sahin (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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