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Bundesliga

Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Hoffenheim
4 - 2
Union Berlin

Bebou (22'), Kramaric (36' pen., 90'), Dabour (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Doekhi (45+4'), Laidouni (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 4-2 Freiburg
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
45.85% (-0.41 -0.41)25.37% (0.070999999999998 0.07)28.78% (0.34 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.74% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (-0.113 -0.11)49.66% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (-0.102 -0.1)71.67% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.232 -0.23)21.66% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-0.356 -0.36)54.79% (0.357 0.36)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.193 0.19)31.41% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.223 0.22)67.78% (-0.221 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 45.85%
    Union Berlin 28.78%
    Draw 25.36%
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.85%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 28.78%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin

Hoffenheim
39.3%
Draw
16.1%
Union Berlin
44.6%
56
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 16
Union Berlin
3-1
Hoffenheim
Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Giesselmann (45+2'), Seguin (90+2')
Bebou (43')
Kabak (45+4')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 19
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Voglsammer (22'), Promel (73')
Baumgartl (16' og.)
Akpoguma (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Geiger (85')
Aug 22, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 2
Hoffenheim
2-2
Union Berlin
Akpoguma (14'), Bruun Larsen (30')
Samassekou (80')
Giesselmann (10'), Awoniyi (47')
Khedira (45'), Friedrich (82')
Friedrich (90+4')
Feb 28, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 23
Union Berlin
1-1
Hoffenheim
Kruse (9' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (29' og.)
Richards (79'), Vogt (90+4')
Nov 2, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Union Berlin
Dabour (80')
Baumgartner (90')
Skov (58')
Kruse (60' pen.), Pohjanpalo (85'), Teuchert (90+4')
Luthe (63'), Griesbeck (71')