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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Union Berlin logo
Hoffenheim
4 - 2
Union Berlin
Bebou (22'), Kramaric (36' pen., 90'), Dabour (90+9')
Promel (81'), Kramaric (90+1'), Dabour (90+8'), Stiller (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Doekhi (45+4'), Laidouni (90+5')
Leite (35'), Haberer (39'), Baumgartl (79'), Roussillon (86'), Becker (87')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 4-2 Freiburg
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Union Berlin

This is a hugely important match for both teams at either end of the table, with a victory potentially enough for either side to achieve their respective ambitions. However, avoiding defeat would not be the end of the world as it would ensure that their destiny remains in their own hands heading into the final match of the season, or potentially even better than that depending on results elsewhere. As such, we can envisage a share of the spoils after an entertaining affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
45.85% (-0.41 -0.41) 25.37% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 28.78% (0.34 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.74% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (-0.113 -0.11)49.66% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (-0.102 -0.1)71.67% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.232 -0.23)21.66% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-0.356 -0.36)54.79% (0.357 0.36)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.193 0.19)31.41% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.223 0.22)67.78% (-0.221 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 45.85%
    Union Berlin 28.78%
    Draw 25.36%
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.85%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 28.78%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin

Hoffenheim
39.3%
Draw
16.1%
Union Berlin
44.6%
56
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 16
Union Berlin
3-1
Hoffenheim
Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Giesselmann (45+2'), Seguin (90+2')
Bebou (43')
Kabak (45+4')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 19
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Voglsammer (22'), Promel (73')
Baumgartl (16' og.)
Akpoguma (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Geiger (85')
Aug 22, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 2
Hoffenheim
2-2
Union Berlin
Akpoguma (14'), Bruun Larsen (30')
Samassekou (80')
Giesselmann (10'), Awoniyi (47')
Khedira (45'), Friedrich (82')
Friedrich (90+4')
Feb 28, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 23
Union Berlin
1-1
Hoffenheim
Kruse (9' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (29' og.)
Richards (79'), Vogt (90+4')
Nov 2, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Union Berlin
Dabour (80')
Baumgartner (90')
Skov (58')
Kruse (60' pen.), Pohjanpalo (85'), Teuchert (90+4')
Luthe (63'), Griesbeck (71')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen13112038112735
2Bayern MunichBayern13102144143032
3Stuttgart13100333151830
4RB Leipzig1492334151929
5Borussia DortmundDortmund147432823525
6Hoffenheim147252824423
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt145632416821
8Freiburg146351723-621
9Augsburg144552327-417
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach144462831-316
11Wolfsburg145181825-716
12Werder Bremen144282027-714
13Heidenheim144282130-914
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum142751529-1413
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin133191528-1310
16FC Koln132381024-149
17SV Darmstadt 98142391737-209
18Mainz 05Mainz131571226-148

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