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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
45.85% (![]() | 25.37% (![]() | 28.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.74% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.34% (![]() | 49.66% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.33% (![]() | 71.67% (![]() |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% (![]() | 21.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.21% (![]() | 54.79% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.59% (![]() | 31.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.22% (![]() | 67.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 10.4% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 12.05% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.88% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 35 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 32 |
3 | Stuttgart | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 29 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 21 |
8 | Freiburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
9 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Heidenheim | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 14 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 13 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
16 | FC Koln | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |
17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 9 |
18 | Mainz 05Mainz | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 8 |
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