Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Hoffenheim4 - 2Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 4-2 Freiburg
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Union Berlin
This is a hugely important match for both teams at either end of the table, with a victory potentially enough for either side to achieve their respective ambitions. However, avoiding defeat would not be the end of the world as it would ensure that their destiny remains in their own hands heading into the final match of the season, or potentially even better than that depending on results elsewhere. As such, we can envisage a share of the spoils after an entertaining affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
45.85% ( -0.41) | 25.37% ( 0.07) | 28.78% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
