Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Weserstadion
Bayern
  • Marvin Ducksch 20' yellowcard
  • Senne Lynen 56' yellowcard
  • goal Leroy Sane 4'
  • yellowcard Kim Min-jae 55'
  • goal Harry Kane 74'
  • goal Leroy Sane 90'
  • goal Mathys Tel 90'+4'

Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 0 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 2 Bayern
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.86%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 0-1 (6.92%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Werder Bremen 22.54% ▼ (-2.41)
Draw 20.6% ▼ (-0.86)
Bayern Munich 56.86% ▲ (+3.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.98% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.65% ▲ (+1.43)
Under 2.5 33.34% ▼ (-1.43)
Over 3.5 44.88% ▲ (+1.62)
Under 3.5 55.12% ▼ (-1.62)
Over 4.5 26.19% ▲ (+1.37)
Under 4.5 73.8% ▼ (-1.38)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 72.5% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 0.5 27.5% ▲ (+1.08)
Over 1.5 37% ▼ (-1.41)
Under 1.5 63% ▲ (+1.41)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 88.25% ▲ (+1.41)
Under 0.5 11.74% ▼ (-1.41)
Over 1.5 63.1% ▲ (+2.95)
Under 1.5 36.9% ▼ (-2.95)

Score analysis

Werder Bremen 22.54%
Draw 20.6%
Bayern Munich 56.86%
Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.48)
1-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.46)
2-0 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.39)
3-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 22.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.46)
2-2 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.6%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.26)
0-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.40)
0-3 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.46)
2-3 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.13)
1-4 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.40)
0-4 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.38)
2-4 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.19)
1-5 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.25)
0-5 @ 1.21% ▼ (-98.29)
3-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-95.29)
2-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-87.09)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 56.86%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bayern
  • Niklas Schmidt 87' goal
  • goal Serge Gnabry 62'
  • goal Leroy Sane 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Bayern
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
6
1
HT : 4 1
FT
Werder Bremen
  • Jamal Musiala 6' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 22' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 26' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 28' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 82' goal
  • Mathys Tel 84' goal
  • goal Anthony Jung 10'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Bayern
  • Joshua Sargent 70' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 86' goal
  • goal Leon Goretzka 22'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 35'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Bayern
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Werder Bremen
  • Benjamin Pavard 15' yellowcard
  • Kingsley Coman 62' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bittencourt 32'
  • yellowcard Ludwig Augustinsson 43'
  • goal Maximilian Eggestein 45'
  • yellowcard Florian Kohfeldt 80'
  • yellowcard Jiri Pavlenka 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
Jun 16, 2020 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Weserstadion
Bayern
  • Maximilian Eggestein 56' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Langkamp 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 19'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 43'
  • redcard Alphonso Davies 79'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Bayern
Dec 14, 2019 2.30pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT Allianz Arena (München)
Werder Bremen
  • Benjamin Pavard 16' yellowcard
  • Jerome Boateng 18' yellowcard
  • Philippe Coutinho 45' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 45' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 63' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 72' goal
  • Thomas Muller 75' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 78' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Gross 22'
  • goal Milot Rashica 24'
  • yellowcard Marco Friedl 62'

Form Data

Viktoria Koln 3 - 2 Werder Bremen
Union Berlin 1 - 0 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen 1 - 1 FC Koln
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 Bayern
Schalke 2 - 1 Werder Bremen
Bayern 0 - 3 RB Leipzig
Bayern 4 - 2 Monaco
Liverpool 3 - 4 Bayern
Kawasaki 0 - 1 Bayern
Bayern 1 - 2 Man City
FC Koln 1 - 2 Bayern