Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
0 - 4
Bayern

Ducksch (20'), Lynen (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sane (4', 90'), Kane (74'), Tel (90+4')
Min-jae (55')

Reaction

Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane on August 18, 2023

Harry Kane scores and assists on Bundesliga debut for Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane capS his Bundesliga debut with a goal and an assist in a 4-0 victory over Werder Bremen.

Aug 19, 09:00

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Viktoria Koln 3-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFL-Supercup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.86%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 0-1 (6.92%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Bayern Munich
22.54% ( -2.41)	20.6% ( -0.86)	56.86% ( 3.26)

Both teams to score 63.98% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.65% (

1.42)

33.34% (

-1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.88% (

1.61)

55.12% (

-1.61)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.5% (

-1.07)

27.5% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37% (

-1.4)

63% (

1.4)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.25% (

1.41)

11.74% (

-1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.1% (

2.94)

36.9% (

-2.94)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 22.54%

Bayern Munich 56.86%

Draw 20.6%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.48) 1-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.62% Total : 22.54%	1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.6%	1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 6.83% ( 0.39) 0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.45) 2-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 3.66% ( 0.39) 0-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.38) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.19) 1-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.24) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.22) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.86%