Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.