DFL-Supercup | Final

Aug 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
0 - 3
RB Leipzig

Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Olmo (3', 44', 68' pen.)
Olmo (71')

Reaction

Bayern Munich's Harry Kane in action against RB Leipzig on August 12, 2023

Thomas Tuchel apologises to Harry Kane for Bayern Munich display against RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich head coach Thomas Tuchel apologises to Harry Kane for the team's performance against RB Leipzig in the German Super Cup.

Aug 13, 08:19

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFL-Supercup clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Monaco
Monday, August 7 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, June 3 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	RB Leipzig
47.49% ( 0.08)	21.43% ( -0.01)	31.08% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 69.3% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.14% (

0.04)

29.87% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.97% (

0.04)

51.03% (

-0.04)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.68% (

0.04)

13.32% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.83% (

0.08)

40.17% (

-0.07)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.96% (

-0.01)

20.05% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.74% (

-0.02)

52.26% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 47.49%

RB Leipzig 31.08%

Draw 21.43%

Bayern Munich	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.49%	1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.43%	1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.08%