Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Sep 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
2 - 2
Heidenheim

Brandt (7'), Can (15' pen.)
Bensebaini (61'), Haller (82'), Can (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dinkci (61'), Kleindienst (82' pen.)
Dinkci (35'), Beste (57'), Pieringer (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Dortmund
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.34%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Heidenheim
58.34% ( -0.01)	20.32% ( 0.01)	21.34% ( 0)

Both teams to score 63.21% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.41% (

-0.04)

33.59% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.6% (

-0.04)

55.4% (

0.05)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.58% (

-0.01)

11.42% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.81% (

-0.03)

36.19% (

0.03)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.35% (

-0.02)

28.65% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.54% (

-0.02)

64.46% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 58.34%

Heidenheim 21.34%

Draw 20.32%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 58.34%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.32%	1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.26% Total : 21.34%