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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 49.81% ( | 23.9% ( | 26.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.99% ( | 45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% ( | 67.36% ( |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.86% ( | 18.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.89% ( | 49.11% ( |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( | 30.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.85% ( | 67.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.29% |