DFB-Pokal | First Round

Aug 14, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadion Lohmuhle

Lubeck
1 - 4
Hoffenheim

Gozusirin (35' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kramaric (42', 60' pen.), Bulter (69'), Justvan (75')
Ole Becker (86')

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Lubeck and Hoffenheim.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lubeck

Last Game: Lubeck 0-3 Mainz
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 5 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Lubeck had a probability of 14.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Lubeck win it was 2-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Lubeck	Draw	Hoffenheim
14.66% ( 0.12)	19.1% ( 0)	66.25% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 53.74% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.41% (

0.25)

39.59% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.06% (

0.26)

61.94% (

-0.26)

Lubeck Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.46% (

0.32)

39.55% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.77% (

0.3)

76.23% (

-0.3)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.88% (

0.04)

11.12% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.46% (

0.09)

35.54% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Lubeck 14.66%

Hoffenheim 66.24%

Draw 19.1%

Lubeck	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 14.66%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.1%	0-2 @ 10.6% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 7.77% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.21% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.15% Total : 66.24%