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Corentin Tolisso
3'
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Ainsley Maitland-Niles
58'
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Corentin Tolisso
74'
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Kylian Mbappe
4'
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Achraf Hakimi
20'
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Marco Asensio
38'
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Kylian Mbappe
45'+2'
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Lucas Hernandez
48'
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Warren Zaire-Emery
73'
Lyon vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.25%) and 0-1 (6.23%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Lyon Goals
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.30)
3-0 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.14)
4-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.18)
4-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.22%
2-2 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.24)
0-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.32)
3-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.61%
0-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.58)
0-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.61)
1-3 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.37)
1-4 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.11)
0-4 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.18)
1-5 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-97.60)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 50.17%
Thiago Mendes
90'+8'