Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.25%) and 0-1 (6.23%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
28.22% ( 1.77) | 21.61% ( -0.08) | 50.17% ( -1.69) |
Both teams to score 66.56% ( 1.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.38% ( 1.87) | 32.61% ( -1.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.72% ( 2.14) | 54.28% ( -2.14) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.92% ( 2.14) | 23.08% ( -2.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.08% ( 3.04) | 56.91% ( -3.04) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% ( 0.13) | 13.47% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.53% ( 0.26) | 40.46% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.22% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.58) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.61) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.17) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.11) 2-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |