Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Nice had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lyon |
| 34.97% ( | 26.37% ( | 38.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% ( | 51.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( | 73.62% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( | 28.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( | 26.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( | 61.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.97% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0-2 @ 6.66% ( 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.65% |