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Ligue 1

Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Lyon

Strasbourg
2 - 1
Lyon

Bellegarde (63'), Mothiba (75')
Doukoure (8'), Bellegarde (45+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tagliafico (88')
Tolisso (45+5'), Kumbedi (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, July 21 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-0 Lyon
Saturday, August 5 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLyon
33.19% (0.931 0.93)26.73% (0.147 0.15)40.08% (-1.082 -1.08)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.373 -0.37)53.61% (0.368 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.315 -0.32)75.11% (0.312 0.31)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (0.43400000000001 0.43)30.35% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (0.514 0.51)66.54% (-0.518 -0.52)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (-0.74799999999999 -0.75)26.24% (0.743 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (-1.009 -1.01)61.35% (1.005 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 33.19%
    Lyon 40.07%
    Draw 26.73%
StrasbourgDrawLyon
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.249 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 33.19%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 10.65% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.13% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Lyon

Strasbourg
37.0%
Draw
22.2%
Lyon
40.7%
54
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Lukeba (32'), Caqueret (36')
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Gameweek 19
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Apr 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 31
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Sep 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
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Gameweek 24
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