Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Nice |
| 29.06% ( | 26.18% ( | 44.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.16% ( | 52.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.54% ( | 74.45% ( |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( | 32.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( | 69.42% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( | 23.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.44% ( | 57.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 3-0 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0-4 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.75% |