Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
3 - 0
Lens

Singo (24'), Golovin (36'), Maripan (59')
Magassa (33'), Camara (47'), Vanderson (52'), Balogun (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Spierings (23'), Medina (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 3-3 Monaco
Friday, August 25 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Lens
Saturday, August 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Lens
38.24% ( 0.02)	25.11% ( -0)	36.65% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.35% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.82% (

46.18% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.53% (

68.47% (

-0)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

0.01)

23.84% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

0.02)

58.02% (

-0.02)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

-0.01)

24.7% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

-0.01)

59.23% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Monaco 38.24%

Lens 36.65%

Draw 25.1%

Monaco	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.24%	1-1 @ 11.8% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1%	1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.65%