/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fchelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
-
Marc Cucurella
21'
-
Cole Palmer
23'
-
Thiago Silva
29'
-
Raheem Sterling
37'
-
Moises Caicedo
60'
-
Nicolas Jackson
67'
-
Nicolas Jackson
90'+4'
-
Cole Palmer
90'+5'
-
Raheem Sterling
90'+7'
-
Mauricio Pochettino
90'+11'
-
Erling Haaland
25'
-
Manuel Akanji
45'+1'
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Erling Haaland
47'
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Jeremy Doku
56'
-
Rodri
72'
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Rodri
86'
-
Jack Grealish
90'+4'
Chelsea vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F45%2Fcole-palmer-nicolas-jackson.jpg)
News
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News
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F45%2Fcheco.JPG)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F45%2Fmauricio-pochettino.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F45%2Ferlhal.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F33%2Fjohn-stones.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F45%2Fjohn-stones.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.13%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result
Chelsea
24.3%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
22.58%
▼
(-0.06)
Manchester City
53.13%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
59.03%
▲
(+0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.17%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 2.5
40.83%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 3.5
36.78%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 3.5
63.22%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 4.5
19.61%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 4.5
80.39%
▼
(-0.22)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
69.78%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
30.22%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
33.62%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
66.38%
▼
(-0.20)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
84.59%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
15.41%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
55.78%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
44.22%
▼
(-0.21)
Score analysis
Chelsea
24.3%
Draw
22.58%
Manchester City
53.13%
Chelsea
2-1
@
6.24%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 24.3%
1-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 24.3%
Draw
1-1
@
10.42%
▼
(-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.58%
2-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.58%
Manchester City
1-2
@
9.75%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 53.13%
0-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 53.13%
Head to Head
Build-up
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F44%2Fmancoe.jpg)
Feature
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F45%2Ffrank-lampard-joey-barton-claudio-reyna.jpg)
News
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News