Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Brentford |
| 49.36% ( | 23.37% ( | 27.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% ( | 41.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.72% ( | 64.27% ( |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( | 17.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.65% ( | 47.35% ( |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( | 28.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( | 64.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 4-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 4.01% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.55% Total : 27.27% |