Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 9

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
3 - 0
Burnley

Wissa (25'), Mbeumo (62'), Ghoddos (87')
Ajer (46'), Onyeka (53'), Frank (61'), Jensen (69'), Janelt (85'), Ghoddos (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Berge (32'), Roberts (42'), Cullen (45+2')
Roberts (78')

The Match

Match Report

Two stunning second-half goals from Bryan Mbeumo and Saman Ghoddos help Brentford to a routine win over Burnley in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Burnley
31.55% ( -0.04)	26.32% ( -0.03)	42.13% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.59% (

0.11)

52.41% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.91% (

0.1)

74.09% (

-0.1)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.15% (

0.04)

30.85% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.87% (

0.04)

67.13% (

-0.04)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.37% (

0.09)

24.62% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.86% (

0.12)

59.13% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Brentford 31.55%

Burnley 42.12%

Draw 26.32%

Brentford	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.55%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.12%