Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Yoane Wissa 25' goal
  • Kristoffer Ajer 46' yellowcard
  • Frank Onyeka 53' yellowcard
  • Thomas Frank 61' yellowcard
  • Bryan Mbeumo 62' goal
  • Mathias Jensen 69' yellowcard
  • Vitaly Janelt 85' yellowcard
  • Saman Ghoddos 87' goal
  • Saman Ghoddos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 32'
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 42'
  • yellowcard Josh Cullen 45'+2'
  • redcard Connor Roberts 78'

Brentford vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Man Utd 2 - 1 Brentford
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Yoane Wissa

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Burnley 1 - 4 Chelsea
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jacob Bruun Larsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result

Brentford 31.55% (-0.04)
Draw 26.32% (-0.03)
Burnley 42.13% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.12% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.59% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 52.41% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 25.91% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 74.09% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 11.94% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 88.06% (-0.07)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 69.15% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.85% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.87% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.13% (-0.05)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 75.37% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 24.62% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 40.86% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 59.13% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Brentford 31.55%
Draw 26.32%
Burnley 42.12%
Brentford
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.32%
Burnley
0-1 @ 10.64% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.77% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.46% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.49% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.12%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ivan Toney 85' goal
  • Ivan Toney 86' yellowcard
  • Ivan Toney 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 89'
  • redcard Nathan Collins 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Chris Wood 4' goal
  • Matthew Lowton 32' goal
  • Maxwel Cornet 36' goal
  • Dwight McNeil 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saman Ghoddos 72'
  • goal Saman Ghoddos 79'
Championship
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Alan Judge 57' goal
  • goal Scott Arfield 12'
  • goal Joey Barton 30'
  • goal George Boyd 39'
Championship
Aug 22, 2015 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Duff 16' yellowcard
  • Michael Keane 26' goal
  • yellowcard Alan McCormack 0'
  • yellowcard Toumani Diagouraga 53'

Build-up

News