Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 3 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Miguel Almiron 14' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 14' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 14' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 17' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 18' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 18' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 76' goal
  • yellowcard Zeki Amdouni 29'
  • yellowcard Zeki Amdouni 29'
  • yellowcard Jordan Beyer 40'
  • yellowcard Jordan Beyer 40'
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 53'

Newcastle United vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 4.30pm
Sheff Utd 0 - 8 Newcastle
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 8.00pm
Burnley 0 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jacob Bruun Larsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 46.08% (-0.01)
Draw 26.42% (+0.01)
Burnley 27.5%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.67% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.45% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 54.54% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 24.1% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 75.89% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 10.79% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.2% (-0.01)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 76.37% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.63% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.28% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.71% (+0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 65.03% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.96% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 28.29% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.7% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 46.07%
Draw 26.41%
Burnley 27.5%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 46.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 8.26% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.41%
Burnley
0-1 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.5%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • James Tarkowski 65' yellowcard
  • Maxwel Cornet 69' goal
  • goal Callum Wilson 20'
  • goal Callum Wilson 60'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum Wilson 40' goal
  • Javi Manquillo 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 75'
EFL Cup
Aug 25, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET St. James' Park
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 79'
  • yellowcard Dwight McNeil 80'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 11, 2021 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matej Vydra 18' goal
  • Josh Brownhill 69' yellowcard
  • goal Jacob Murphy 59'
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 64'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 14' goal
  • Joelinton 37' yellowcard
  • Jamal Lewis 49' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 65' goal
  • Callum Wilson 77' goal
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 37'
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 40'
  • goal Ashley Westwood 61'
  • yellowcard Dwight McNeil 69'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Feb 29, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Danny Rose 34' yellowcard
  • Dwight Gayle 59' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 70' yellowcard
  • Javi Manquillo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Phil Bardsley 39'
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 64'
  • yellowcard Ben Mee 90'

Build-up

News