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EFL Cup

Salford City
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Moor Lane
Burnley logo

Salford City
0 - 4
Burnley


Olopade (44')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Berge (12'), Bruun Larsen (20'), O'Shea (27'), Odobert (81')
Rodriguez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Salford City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Harrogate 3-2 Salford City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

Burnley

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Burnley 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawBurnley
28.8% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)25.08% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.12% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (0.010000000000005 0.01)48.44% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.58% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23%30.77% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97%67.03% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (0.012 0.01)21.04% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.83% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 28.8%
    Burnley 46.12%
    Draw 25.08%
Salford CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.8%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.12%

How you voted: Salford City vs Burnley

Salford City
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Burnley
81.8%
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