Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 44.9% ( | 23.26% | 31.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.41% ( | 38.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.11% ( | 60.89% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.42% ( | 17.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.86% | 48.14% ( |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( | 23.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.94% ( | 58.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.96% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0-0 @ 4.19% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 4.31% 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.83% |