League Two

League Two | Gameweek 9

Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
3 - 2
Salford City

Thomson (16' pen.), Folarin (23'), Odoh (80')
McDonald (74'), Sutton (84')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Tilt (29'), Smith (58')
Watt (18'), McAleny (66')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Harrogate
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salford City

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Notts County
Friday, September 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Salford City
39.9% ( 0.03)	25.48% ( 0)	34.62% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.8% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.93% (

-0.01)

48.07% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.76% (

-0.01)

70.24% (

0.01)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

0.01)

23.83% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.99% (

0.01)

58% (

-0.02)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

-0.03)

26.75% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

-0.04)

62.02% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 39.9%

Salford City 34.62%

Draw 25.48%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Salford City
1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.9%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.62%