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Championship header 2

League Two

Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Morecambe

Harrogate
2 - 0
Morecambe

Armstrong (20' pen.), Thomson (66')
Sutton (47'), Falkingham (82'), Oxley (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bedeau (20'), Rawson (20'), Major (45+4'), Love (90+1')
Rawson (64')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Harrogate
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 3-0 Bradford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawMorecambe
44.97% (-0.159 -0.16)26.92% (-0.055 -0.05)28.11% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 48.6% (0.28899999999999 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (0.306 0.31)56.11% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.81% (0.247 0.25)77.18% (-0.24900000000001 -0.25)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (0.057000000000002 0.06)24.85% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (0.082000000000001 0.08)59.45% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (0.33500000000001 0.34)35.32% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (0.347 0.35)72.07% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 44.97%
    Morecambe 28.11%
    Draw 26.91%
Harrogate TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 12.22% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 28.11%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Harrogate
2-1
Morecambe
O'Boyle (28'), Welch-Hayes (90+6')
Major (2')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Harrogate
0-1
Morecambe

Jones (72')
Smith (1' og.)
Knight-Percival (39'), Stockton (45'), Gibson (89'), O'Sullivan (90+4')
Knight-Percival (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Morecambe
1-0
Harrogate
Wildig (56')
Wildig (84'), Halstead (89')