League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Mansfield3 - 0Morecambe
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Morecambe (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
We said: Mansfield Town 1-1 Morecambe
This is a difficult match to call, as we believe there is not much difference between the sides in terms of quality. Four of the last five meetings between the sides across all competitions have resulted in draws, so we think the teams will share the spoils this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Morecambe |
59.42% ( -0.1) | 22.41% ( 0.04) | 18.17% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
