League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
3 - 2
Morecambe

Stansfield (49', 57', 70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stockton (53', 90+14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Exeter City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Exeter
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Morecambe
63.02% ( -1.92)	20.82% ( 0.77)	16.15% ( 1.15)

Both teams to score 51.46% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.6% (

-1.15)

44.4% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.23% (

-1.12)

66.77% (

1.12)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.54% (

-0.92)

13.46% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.55% (

-1.86)

40.45% (

1.86)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.46% (

0.82)

40.54% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.86% (

0.73)

77.14% (

-0.73)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 63.02%

Morecambe 16.15%

Draw 20.82%

Exeter City	Draw	Morecambe
2-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.34) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.95% Total : 63.02%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.82%	0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.15%