MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 09:23:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
St James Park
Morecambe

Exeter
3 - 2
Morecambe

Stansfield (49', 57', 70')
Borges (73'), Sweeney (77'), Kite (83'), Caprice (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stockton (53', 90+14')
Weir (79'), Major (81'), Hunter (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Exeter City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Exeter
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Morecambe

 Morecambe have shown they have what it takes to stay up with their performances in recent weeks, winning their last three games on the spin, and we expect them to move out of the relegation zone on the final day. Exeter have been out of sorts lately, and the game means far more to the visitors, who are likely to come away with a victory by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawMorecambe
63.02% (-1.921 -1.92) 20.82% (0.766 0.77) 16.15% (1.153 1.15)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.17 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (-1.15 -1.15)44.4% (1.148 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (-1.124 -1.12)66.77% (1.121 1.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (-0.916 -0.92)13.46% (0.913 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (-1.862 -1.86)40.45% (1.86 1.86)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.46% (0.816 0.82)40.54% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.86% (0.73 0.73)77.14% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 63.02%
    Morecambe 16.15%
    Draw 20.82%
Exeter CityDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 10.97% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.34% (-0.399 -0.4)
3-1 @ 6.62% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.336 -0.34)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.19 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 63.02%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.267 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.82%
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.344 0.34)
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.262 0.26)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.15%

How you voted: Exeter vs Morecambe

Exeter City
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Morecambe
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Morecambe
1-1
Exeter
Stockton (34')
O'Connor (25')
Key (36')
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
gameweek 26
Exeter
0-2
Morecambe

Maxted (8')
Phillips (9' pen.), Stockton (66')
Phillips (56'), Diagouraga (85'), Cooney (90+2')
Nov 3, 2020 6.30pm
gameweek 11
Morecambe
2-2
Exeter
Mendes Gomes (41'), Hendrie (45+1')
Randall (33'), Taylor (72')
Randall (65')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
gameweek 43
Exeter
P-P
Morecambe
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
gameweek 5
Morecambe
2-3
Exeter
Alessandra (45', 63')
Lavelle (80')
Lavelle (91')
Taylor (21'), Martin (25'), Law (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!