/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmorlog.png)
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Jay Stansfield
49'
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Jay Stansfield
57'
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Jay Stansfield
70'
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Cole Stockton
53'
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Cole Stockton
90'+14'
Exeter City vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F18%2F42%2Fgary-caldwell.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result
Exeter City
63.02%
▼
(-1.93)
Draw
20.82%
▲
(+0.77)
Morecambe
16.15%
▲
(+1.16)
Both Teams to Score:
51.46%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.6%
▼
(-1.15)
Under 2.5
44.4%
▲
(+1.15)
Over 3.5
33.23%
▼
(-1.13)
Under 3.5
66.77%
▲
(+1.13)
Over 4.5
16.96%
▼
(-0.83)
Under 4.5
83.04%
▲
(+0.83)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
86.54%
▼
(-0.92)
Under 0.5
13.46%
▲
(+0.92)
Over 1.5
59.55%
▼
(-1.87)
Under 1.5
40.45%
▲
(+1.86)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5
59.46%
▲
(+0.82)
Under 0.5
40.54%
▼
(-0.82)
Over 1.5
22.86%
▲
(+0.74)
Under 1.5
77.14%
▼
(-0.74)
Score analysis
Exeter City
63.02%
Draw
20.82%
Morecambe
16.15%
Exeter City
2-0
@
10.97%
▼
(-0.20)
1-0 @ 10.94% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.40)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.21)
4-0 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.34)
4-1 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.19)
5-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 63.02%
1-0 @ 10.94% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.40)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.21)
4-0 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.34)
4-1 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.19)
5-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 63.02%
Draw
1-1
@
9.88%
▲
(+0.37)
0-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.82%
0-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.82%
Morecambe
0-1
@
4.93%
▲
(+0.35)
1-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.15%
1-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.15%
