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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Lincoln City

Morecambe
3 - 2
Lincoln

Stockton (50', 86'), Niasse (66')
Adams (35'), Crowley (45+1'), Stockton (68'), Austerfield (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sorensen (30'), Virtue (48')
Virtue (34'), Erhahon (74'), Poole (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Lincoln City

Given the magnitude of their recent victories, Morecambe will fancy their chances of a third successive victory. However, Lincoln are looking for a third away success of their own on away territory, leading us to predict a win for Kennedy's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawLincoln City
29.4% (0.0040000000000013 0) 25.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 45.13% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 53.8% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.015999999999998 0.02)49.75% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.012999999999991 0.01)31% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.02% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)55.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 29.4%
    Lincoln City 45.13%
    Draw 25.46%
MorecambeDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.68%
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.4%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-2 @ 7.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 45.13%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Lincoln

Morecambe
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Lincoln City
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7pm
Second Round
Lincoln
1-1
Morecambe
Lincoln win 4-3 on penalties
Hopper (53')
Stockton (67')
Love (55')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Lincoln
2-1
Morecambe
Walsh (17'), House (67')
Oakley-Boothe (83')
Weir (81')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 32
Lincoln
2-1
Morecambe
Whittaker (10'), Bramall (19')
Walsh (42'), Maguire (90+2')
Diagouraga (56')
Bedeau (90+2')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Morecambe
2-0
Lincoln
Stockton (53'), Wootton (79')
McLaughlin (55')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
gameweek 34
Morecambe
0-2
Lincoln

Conlan (67')
Andrade (10', 57')
Bostwick (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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