League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
3 - 2
Lincoln

Stockton (50', 86'), Niasse (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sorensen (30'), Virtue (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Lincoln City
29.4% ( 0)	25.47% ( -0)	45.13% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.8% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.25% (

0.02)

49.75% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.24% (

0.02)

71.75% (

-0.02)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

0.01)

31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.69% (

0.01)

67.31% (

-0.02)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.98% (

0.01)

22.02% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.66% (

0.01)

55.34% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 29.4%

Lincoln City 45.13%

Draw 25.46%

Morecambe	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.4%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 45.13%