League One Gameweek 28
Lincoln
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT LNER Stadium
Burton Albion
  • goal Gassan Ahadme 79'

Lincoln City vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Wycombe 0 - 2 Lincoln
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ben House

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Derby 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Victor Adeboyejo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Lincoln City 43.05% ▲ (+0.95)
Draw 26.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Burton Albion 30.18% ▼ (-0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.17% ▼ (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.36% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 54.64% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 24.02% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 75.98% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 10.74% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 89.26% ▲ (+0.14)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 74.84% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 0.5 25.16% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 1.5 40.13% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 1.5 59.87% ▼ (-0.51)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 67.03% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 0.5 32.97% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 1.5 30.45% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 1.5 69.55% ▲ (+0.90)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 43.05%
Draw 26.77%
Burton Albion 30.18%
Lincoln City
1-0 @ 11.44% ▲ (+0.23)
2-1 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.77%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.11)
1-2 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.18%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 23
Burton Albion
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Lincoln
  • Sam Hughes 5' goal
  • Jonny Smith 14' goal
  • Victor Adeboyejo 27' goal
League One Gameweek 30
Lincoln
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • John Marquis 49' goal
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 19'
  • yellowcard Williams Kokolo 51'
  • goal Joe Powell 56'
  • goal Sam Hughes 80'
League One Gameweek 9
Burton Albion
Sep 25, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Lincoln
  • Michael Bostwick 78' yellowcard
  • Conor Shaughnessy 86' goal
  • goal Lewis Fiorini 10'
  • goal Anthony Scully 50'
  • yellowcard Timothy Eyoma 65'
  • yellowcard Lewis Montsma 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 43
Burton Albion
Apr 20, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Lincoln
  • Mike Fondop 88' yellowcard
  • Terry Taylor 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Timothy Eyoma 27'
League One Gameweek 20
Lincoln
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Sincil Bank Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Ramirez Howarth 4' goal
  • Brennan Johnson 7' goal
  • Anthony Scully 56' goal
  • Joe Walsh 60' yellowcard
  • Brennan Johnson 63' goal
  • Brennan Johnson 80' yellowcard
  • Harry Anderson 81' goal
  • goal Kane Hemmings 74'
League One Gameweek 37
Lincoln
Mar 7, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Sincil Bank Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Tom Hopper 21' goal
  • Tom Hopper 38' goal
  • Michael Bostwick 61' yellowcard
  • Joe Morrell 62' goal
  • goal Joe Powell 6'
  • goal Joe Powell 30'
  • yellowcard John-Joe O'Toole 61'
  • yellowcard Jake Buxton 75'

Form Data

Wycombe 0 - 2 Lincoln
Lincoln 0 - 0 Barnsley
Lincoln 3 - 2 Port Vale
Plymouth 0 - 2 Lincoln
Lincoln 2 - 0 Cheltenham
Sheff Weds 1 - 1 Lincoln
Derby 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 1 Bolton
Burton Albion 3 - 2 Sheff Weds
Charlton 3 - 2 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 2 - 1 Barnsley
Cheltenham 0 - 0 Burton Albion

Build-up

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