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Championship header 2

League One

Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 28
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Burton Albion

Lincoln
0 - 1
Burton Albion

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahadme (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Wycombe 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBurton Albion
43.05% (0.941 0.94)26.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.18% (-0.92 -0.92)
Both teams to score 50.17% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (-0.252 -0.25)54.64% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.02% (-0.21 -0.21)75.98% (0.212 0.21)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.369 0.37)25.16% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (0.505 0.5)59.87% (-0.502 -0.5)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.794 -0.79)32.97% (0.796 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.891 -0.89)69.55% (0.893 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 43.05%
    Burton Albion 30.18%
    Draw 26.77%
Lincoln CityDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.241 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.148 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.18%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Burton Albion

Lincoln City
75.8%
Draw
6.1%
Burton Albion
18.2%
33
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 23
Burton Albion
3-0
Lincoln
Hughes (5'), Smith (14'), Adeboyejo (27' pen.)

Diamond (75')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 30
Lincoln
1-2
Burton Albion
Marquis (49')
Powell (56'), Hughes (80')
Oshilaja (19'), Kokolo (51')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
gameweek 9
Burton Albion
1-2
Lincoln
Shaughnessy (86')
Bostwick (78')
Fiorini (10'), Scully (50')
Eyoma (65'), Montsma (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
gameweek 43
Burton Albion
0-1
Lincoln

Fondop (88'), Taylor (90+3')
Eyoma (27')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
gameweek 20
Lincoln
5-1
Burton Albion
Howarth (4'), Johnson (7', 63'), Scully (56'), Anderson (81')
Walsh (60'), Johnson (80')
Hemmings (74')
rhs 2.0


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