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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 28
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Burton Albion

Lincoln
0 - 1
Burton Albion

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahadme (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Burton Albion

Having conceded nine goals without reply across their previous two league games, Burton look set to suffer another disappointing defeat this weekend.    Given that Lincoln are among the division's lowest scorers, we are not likely to see a flurry of goals at LNER Stadium, but the hosts should cruise to a comfortable clean-sheet victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBurton Albion
43.05% (0.941 0.94) 26.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 30.18% (-0.92 -0.92)
Both teams to score 50.17% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (-0.252 -0.25)54.64% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.02% (-0.21 -0.21)75.98% (0.212 0.21)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.369 0.37)25.16% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (0.505 0.5)59.87% (-0.502 -0.5)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.794 -0.79)32.97% (0.796 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.891 -0.89)69.55% (0.893 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 43.05%
    Burton Albion 30.18%
    Draw 26.77%
Lincoln CityDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.241 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.148 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.18%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Burton Albion

Lincoln City
75.8%
Draw
6.1%
Burton Albion
18.2%
33
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 23
Burton Albion
3-0
Lincoln
Hughes (5'), Smith (14'), Adeboyejo (27' pen.)

Diamond (75')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 30
Lincoln
1-2
Burton Albion
Marquis (49')
Powell (56'), Hughes (80')
Oshilaja (19'), Kokolo (51')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
gameweek 9
Burton Albion
1-2
Lincoln
Shaughnessy (86')
Bostwick (78')
Fiorini (10'), Scully (50')
Eyoma (65'), Montsma (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
gameweek 43
Burton Albion
0-1
Lincoln

Fondop (88'), Taylor (90+3')
Eyoma (27')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
gameweek 20
Lincoln
5-1
Burton Albion
Howarth (4'), Johnson (7', 63'), Scully (56'), Anderson (81')
Walsh (60'), Johnson (80')
Hemmings (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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