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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Exeter City

Ipswich
6 - 0
Exeter

Chaplin (8', 32'), Luongo (16'), Hirst (22'), Broadhead (28' pen.), Burns (47')
Clarke (57'), Burgess (88')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Mitchell (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Exeter City

Ipswich have been solid all season, but their performances have gone up a level since February, keeping clean sheets in 12 of their last 14 matches. McKenna's side have proven they have what it takes to win promotion with their recent victories against Barnsley and Peterborough, and we expect them to get over the line on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.79%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 7.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawExeter City
79.79% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 12.99% (0.036 0.04) 7.21% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.61% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.96% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)32.03% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.39% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)53.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)6.25% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.41% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)23.59% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.85% (0.022999999999996 0.02)48.14% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)83.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 79.78%
    Exeter City 7.21%
    Draw 12.99%
Ipswich TownDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 11.56%
3-0 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 7.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 79.78%
1-1 @ 6.1% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 12.99%
1-2 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.2% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 7.21%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Exeter

Ipswich Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
0.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 12pm
gameweek 19
Exeter
0-2
Ipswich

Sparkes (45+1')
Ladapo (11'), Harness (68')
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Round of 16
Exeter
2-1
Ipswich
Ajose (45'), Martin (93')
Jay (35')
Keane (57')
Keane (41'), Woolfenden (60'), Nsiala (91')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-1
Ipswich
Exeter win 4-2 on penalties
Brown (64')
Taylor (67')
Jackson (37')
Knudsen (82'), Nsiala (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
13Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
14Blackpool186572631-523
15Leyton Orient196491920-122
16Stevenage176471316-322
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
18Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
19Bristol Rovers186391726-921
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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