/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fipslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexelog.png)
-
Conor Chaplin
8'
-
Massimo Luongo
16'
-
George Hirst
22'
-
Nathan Broadhead
28'
-
Conor Chaplin
32'
-
Wes Burns
47'
Ipswich Town vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F04%2Fkieran-mckenna.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.79%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 7.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result
Ipswich Town
79.79%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
12.99%
▲
(+0.04)
Exeter City
7.21%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
48.61%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.96%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
32.03%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
46.39%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
53.6%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
27.5%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
72.49%
▲
(+0.07)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5
93.74%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
6.25%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
76.41%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
23.59%
▲
(+0.08)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
51.85%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
48.14%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
16.66%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
83.34%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Ipswich Town
79.78%
Draw
12.99%
Exeter City
7.21%
Ipswich Town
2-0
@
11.56%
3-0 @ 10.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 79.78%
3-0 @ 10.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 79.78%
Draw
1-1
@
6.1%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 12.99%
2-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 12.99%
Exeter City
1-2
@
2.23%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 7.21%
0-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 7.21%
