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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
CNG Stadium
Rochdale

Harrogate
1 - 1
Rochdale

Sims (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keohane (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Rochdale

There is no real pressure on either side heading into this match, which could create an entertaining contest. Rochdale were excellent against Sutton last time out and certainly have enough quality to secure a share of the spoils on Monday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawRochdale
57.26% (0.112 0.11) 23.07% (-0.035 -0.04) 19.67% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.96% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (0.041000000000004 0.04)48.47% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (0.038 0.04)70.6% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (0.054000000000002 0.05)16.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (0.097999999999999 0.1)46.56% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.16% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)38.84% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.43% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)75.57% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 57.25%
    Rochdale 19.67%
    Draw 23.07%
Harrogate TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 57.25%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 19.67%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Rochdale

Harrogate Town
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rochdale
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Rochdale
1-4
Harrogate
Ball (7')
Brierley (37')
Thomson (14'), Armstrong (53', 58'), Folarin (70')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 32
Rochdale
3-3
Harrogate
Clark (18'), Odoh (61'), Campbell (88')
O'Connell (48'), Ball (76')
Pattison (3', 24'), Diamond (47')
Legge (66')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
gameweek 1
Harrogate
3-2
Rochdale
Armstrong (5'), Pattison (10'), Burrell (90+1')
Pattison (59')
Newby (15'), Grant (49')
Beesley (43'), Odoh (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport442611791444789
4MK Dons442281474611374
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe441913126861770
6BarrowBarrow431814115849968
7Crawley TownCrawley44206186965466
8Walsall441811156665165
9Doncaster RoversDoncaster43197176363064
10Gillingham44189174353-1063
11AFC Wimbledon4416141457471062
12Harrogate TownHarrogate441711165562-762
13Bradford CityBradford431612155255-360
14Notts County44177208885358
15Morecambe44179186376-1357
16Newport CountyNewport44167216171-1055
17Tranmere RoversTranmere44166226364-154
18Accrington StanleyAccrington44159205766-954
19Swindon TownSwindon441411197478-453
20Salford City441211216380-1747
21Grimsby Town441016185572-1746
22Colchester UnitedColchester431111215774-1744
23Sutton UnitedSutton44913225378-2540
RForest Green RoversForest Green4499264177-3636


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