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Championship header 2

League Two

Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
CNG Stadium
Rochdale

Harrogate
1 - 1
Rochdale

Sims (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keohane (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawRochdale
57.26% (0.112 0.11)23.07% (-0.035 -0.04)19.67% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.96% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (0.041000000000004 0.04)48.47% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (0.038 0.04)70.6% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (0.054000000000002 0.05)16.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (0.097999999999999 0.1)46.56% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.16% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)38.84% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.43% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)75.57% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 57.25%
    Rochdale 19.67%
    Draw 23.07%
Harrogate TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 57.25%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 19.67%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Rochdale

Harrogate Town
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rochdale
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Rochdale
1-4
Harrogate
Ball (7')
Brierley (37')
Thomson (14'), Armstrong (53', 58'), Folarin (70')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 32
Rochdale
3-3
Harrogate
Clark (18'), Odoh (61'), Campbell (88')
O'Connell (48'), Ball (76')
Pattison (3', 24'), Diamond (47')
Legge (66')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Harrogate
P-P
Rochdale
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
gameweek 1
Harrogate
3-2
Rochdale
Armstrong (5'), Pattison (10'), Burrell (90+1')
Pattison (59')
Newby (15'), Grant (49')
Beesley (43'), Odoh (60')